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COVID-19: GHS Must Begin Showing Real Time Corona-virus Infection, Growth, Recovery And Death Data Instead Of The 5 Days Post Event Publication


COVID-19: GHS Must Begin Showing Real Time Corona-virus Infection, Growth, Recovery And Death Data Instead Of The 5 Days Post Event Publication
            WRITTEN BY Dr. H. Kwame Afaglo.

 Being plagued with presenting inaccurate or massage data for decades in unemployment numbers, real inflation rate and real cost of living to name a few, is a major cause of worry, especially during this COVID-19 (corolla-virus) pandemic months.

 This is the time when mathematicians need the real time data cum factual infection rate to engage formulae for a parabolic curve generation, they can not get and what is available is deceptive out of the data massaging plague acquired by Ghanaian officials.

 A dumbbell shape or parabolic curve is the nature of corona-virus affection, I will indicate, while in countries with reoccurrence records an 'S-curve' would be their preferred option. 

 It is an established fact that the baby beast corona-virus infests at an exponential rate, but the exact rate of change in the Ogyakrom situation is still hiding somewhere or in someone's zipped pocket. Thus making it difficult for generating the expected parabolic curve or an S-curve and its corresponding economic V-curve for a  near accurate and prudent decision making.

 It was surprising when Ogyakrom Health Service (GHS) adhered to the advice of stoppage in using a line graph and opting for a website whose data presented is not worth using for prediction. 

 GHS website needs to know in such health pandemic times, they are not just a record posting center but posting records in more effective ways to be used for analysis with predictive suggestions.

 The predictive ability of corona-virus data requires knowing the COVID-19 life cycle of infection, recovery and death, hence the,

 🛑 earliest recorded infection data

 🛑 infection growth rate,

 must be made public, for determination of the 

 🔹 peak of infection period, 

 🔹 the decline to 

 🟢 near extinction or end, by using binomial theorem or another most suitable formula that will need an  optimist dumbbell shaped or parabolic curve and not a histogram as currently presented on the GHS website.

 This way, mathematicians  can offer a predicted near extinction date or the end date of the baby beast corona-virus infection and harm in Ogyakrom, (Ghana) for a near factual economic V-curve to be plotted to be factored into a clear and prudent economic decision for the now and tomorrow.

 Simply put, GHS must begin showing real time corona-virus infection, growth, recovery and death data instead of the 5 days post event publication. 

 Also, the cumulative frequency (cumf) curve of corona-virus must be re-introduced, as well making know the real infection rate of change in the country, to enable unsolicited assistance, togetherness in the fight and transparency.

 When massaging data or suppressing data becomes a habit, subsequent decisions rely on hunches in a digital age froth with try your luck

 Nyee gbe dze anyi





Ghana COVID-19 Updates as April 29, 2020.



1,671 Confirmed Cases Count.

   Cases per Region (Case Count from Highest to Lowest)

 Greater Accra Region - 1,433

 Ashanti Region - 84

 Eastern Region - 57

 Upper East Region - 18

 Central Region - 18

 Oti Region - 17

 Northern Region - 13

 Volta Region - 11

 Western Region - 9

 Upper West Region - 8

 North East Region - 2
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